We examine Bitcoin’s current market structure and its potential impact. Bitcoin has been consolidating in a rising wedge pattern, mirroring previous cycles’ red accumulation phases before halvings. The market’s extreme calmness and low volatility, especially in historically challenging September, raise questions. However, the significant percentage of Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders (75%) could trigger a supply shock. The chart shows two potential scenarios: a bearish one with support around $20,000-$21,000, and a bullish one where Bitcoin could touch $45,000-$57,000 before entering the red accumulation phase. Historical patterns suggest such moves tend to occur before halvings, emphasizing the importance of key technical levels and long-term holders’ role in the current crypto landscape. Please note, the crypto market remains highly unpredictable, and this analysis is not investment advice.

Intro 00:00
Accumulation phase 00:25
September going to be red? 1:30
Bitcoin supply shock 2:35
If BTC price falls 4:30
Power move for Bitcoin? 5:30

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