Comparing bear markets may not be the most fun exercise, but it could help us to keep our short-term expectations in check, while recognizing some of the silver linings that this bear market has brought us. With the price of #Bitcoin down significantly from its all-time-high, it makes us wonder: How does this bear market compare to the 2018 bear market? In this video, we go a step further from measuring the ROI from the November 2021 peak, and explore what it looks like as measured from April 2021.
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Awesome analysis, thanks!
Unexpectedly low peak , why not Unexpectedly high bottom ? 🤟
Thanks Ben, I guess all depends on the recession.
Ben could you please compare this bear market after a theoretical double top bull run to the bear market after the previous double top bull market, not sure if you could get all the long term information from back then
crypto is still in the beginning process compared to the other assets. Meaning I don't think historical data couldn't help predict the future market price of crypto. We don't even know whether or not these assets could be more accepted politically. It could go 100X, or just plummet up to near zero in a year.
Ben is ending the premium sales on 7/13? This must be a bottom indicator LOL
Next 4 year cycle is in januari 2023 will it be then we start to move?
Brilliant. Love you, Ben!
I disagree completely with this idea that April should be used as some surrogate ATH. I just dont see how you can look at everything he shows here with how the market lines up so incredibly perfectly when measured from November, but is a complete outlier thats waaaaay offbase when measured from April and ignore that. Like… none of the data is even close unless you use the actual ATH and not a "close enough" ATH. This is not even mentioning that the timing is waaay off. I think its just people wishing for the worse to be over now instead of being another 5-6 months from the actual and more likely bottom. It will be interesting to watch for sure, but I expect hindsight to prove that November was it.
could you overlay the cycles from the halving dates plssss?
If you measure from the halving back to bear market bottom there is still a while to go before bottom
I here Ben I'm hanging out and sipping the tea.
What is interesting is looking at the Pi Cycle BOTTOM Indicator….we seem to be close to a cross in higher time frames but are running parallel in lower time frames.
Volume was also low. I call it the Alameda spoofed meme Top.
Thanks Dr Cowen. I would appreciate a video on Gold and oil linear regression trend corridors best wishes from Tasmania
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Has Inflation peaked? 🤔
69k was the peak… that’s what a peak is the highest point …
I agree April/May was the true bull market top. Novembers top was manipulated on less volume and most alts did nothing like they did in early 2021.
Great content as always 👍… Love the short and precise analysis… You have a better pulse for the market than any of the other content creators I follow have.
Nice one Ben, thanks for the continued analysis. This last cycle is asking a lot of questions that's for sure!
Keep em coming ben. 🍻 was all in in crypto in late 2020 until I found your channel